The 99.9% Signal: Why Extreme Prediction Market Probabilities Are Not What They Seem
The number flashed across my terminal at 03:47 UTC: a binary prediction marke...
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The number flashed across my terminal at 03:47 UTC: a binary prediction marke...
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$64,187.1 | +1.57% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,846.02 | +1.37% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$74.91 | +0.82% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$570.9 | +1.69% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.09 | +0.32% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0723 | +0.64% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1647 | +2.11% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.57 | +1.50% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8338 | -1.37% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.3 | +2.28% |
Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
92 million ARB released
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Team and early investor shares released
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward halving event
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,187.1 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,846.02 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$74.91 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$570.9 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.09 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0723 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1647 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.57 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8338 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.3 |