#Kalshi

The signal arrived not from a blockchain explorer, but from a legal brief. It...

On Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, traders are betting on XRP...

Look at the ledger. The code does not lie, only the narrative. This week, the...

The Hook: A Wall Street Giant Plays Matchmaker Cantor Fitzgerald, the...

Fifty characters. That's the length of a bet slip on Polymarket, a binary...

On a quiet Tuesday afternoon, a filing hit the CFTC's docket: Kalshi, the...

The most significant trade in prediction markets this year—arguably in the...

August 13, 2025. Baltimore files a lawsuit. August 18, 2025. Korea approves a...

We assume prediction markets are the natural domain of decentralized...

The news landed like a lightning rod: Donald Trump, the newly inaugurated...

The market is wrong about prediction markets. When the NYC Council launched i...

Hook Reality check: The CFTC just used its emergency authority to keep a...

Kalshi wrapped the hedge in a blanket. Literally. The CFTC-regulated predicti...

Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction market that spent years fighting...

Five U.S. lawmakers sent a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission...

The judge didn't legalize prediction markets. She simply reminded Minnesota...

Alpha moves before the charts confirm the truth. Risk Alert: Prediction marke...

Kalshi spent $990,000 on federal lobbying in the first half of 2024. That...

Hype is the signal; silence is the warning. And in the corridors of Washingto...

We didn’t set out to build a crypto exchange. We set out to understand why the m

Hook It’s 7:00 AM Chengdu time. My terminal pings with a Bloomberg alert: Tru...

On July 11, 2023, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) confirmed a...

On a quiet Tuesday in early 2025, a trader on Kalshi netted exactly $100,000...

The investigation landed like a cold revert: the CFTC is probing insider...

On a crisp November morning in Mexico City, I watched as a story unfolded tha...

A teleprompter operator at a Trump rally placed a bet on Kalshi minutes befor...

A teleprompter operator placed a series of bets on Kalshi minutes before Dona...

The spread wasn’t there yet. But I could smell it. The structural integrity o...

On July 14, 2025, Kalshi received two commands. One from the Commodity Future...

Last Thursday, a federal judge in Michigan issued an order that should have...

The code didn't say which law to follow. July 2025. Two conflicting commands...

The CFTC Chairman, Rostin Behnam, didn't mince words. At a recent public...

The block does not lie, but it does not care. On Tuesday, OpenAI quietly adde...

A single line in ChatGPT's search results now tells you who the market expect...

We didn’t see it coming. Not really. Oh, we knew the narrative—prediction...

Here is a number: 137 billion. That is the combined notional trading volume...